The situation is getting crazy enough in the Bay Area that one can perhaps begin to have some hope of a countervailing political pressure building. See my longer post elsewhere on the page: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12576948
I think the last several years have clearly proven that SF's polarized politics are absolutely no good at solving any problems and quite good at creating countless new ones, so it would be ridiculous for the rest of the Bay Area to follow them.
Anecdotally, my Bay Area friends are all excited about the prospect of decreasing pressure on their cities.
Plenty of people still want to be in the Bay Area. The previous situation was far too oversubscribed for the amount of space and housing available. Release some of that pressure and the city could become more attractive again. They will still need to solve the crime issues, though.
I’ve lived in the SF Bay Area pretty much my whole life and I just want to say you hit the nail on the head. Do you know of any politicians who are working to make this happen? I’m pretty liberal, but I sometimes feel we live in such a bubble here that even ideas like these are a third rail...
The obvious counterargument is that the Bay Area has been trying exactly what you propose for years, and the result has been a crisis instead of a shifting of gravity to other locations.
Downward pressure on bay area burbs because of people leaving, but upwards pressure potentially due to the exodus of SF as people start to want more separation from people. Time will tell.
It's crazy. The Bay Area used to be probably the most desirable place in the world. Now it's descended into something much, much worse.
It's hard to see how the descent can stop. Short of very firm "cleanup" measures, things will probably get worse. But a great many of the citizens would oppose such measures.
I usually see things in a positive light, but this is a hard one. I'd love to be wrong and see the Bay Area thriving in 20 years.
between Nimbys and public sector unions and the fact that the Bay Area is essentially under one-party rule...no. It's just not going to happen. Private initiatives are the only hope.
reply