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If Charles Manson said that the sun rises from the East...wouldn't it be true, regardless of the source? What Oracle said can easily be checked by a lot of independent companies.


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If Thomas Friedman told me the sun rises in the East, I'd look to verify.

If the sun is really the best source for that information, then I'm not sure it's to be believed.

Oh yeah, I was talking in the context of the source being the sun. Of course other sources vary.

Asking for scientific evidence that the sun will come up is almost like trolling.

In an adversarial system your chances depend on the amount of valid legal process-effort you exert. If you acknowledge that this effort is correlated with financing, even a little, then you admit there is a vulnerability.

A more reasonable question would be if they have a reason to assume that the variable has an oversized impact on the process.


There are many statements we would agree to be neither true nor false; here are a couple:

1. The sun will rise tomorrow. 2. This statement is false.

Note that this is not the kind of information which is controversial in our society and germane to decision making. (Other than that we will assume the sun will rise tomorrow as a given, but we can't stop with that.)


Science: Sun rises in the east A: Sun rises in the west B: Here is some evidence that sun rises in the east (recommendation) (or) You're insane for not believing in that (pressure?)

Is B trying to use components of frame control to take over A's reality?

IMO the article feels very convoluted


I get that you don't want it to be true but that doesn't make it false.

Saying "The sun rises in the east" over and over doesn't make it true. It's true because it's true no matter how many times I say it.


Ultimately you are right, but this is basically Popper vs Kuhn. I can confidently say that the sun will indeed rise tomorrow from the East and set on the West, to pretend otherwise is sheer folly.

> The sun has risen at least 166 times already, but it is not proof that the sun will rise tomorrow.

If the sun has risen at least 166 times, the probability that it will rise tomorrow is at least 99.4% according to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunrise_problem


You want evidence that the most advertised product is not necessarily the "best" one? OK, but right after I prove that the sun rises, more or less, from the East.

"Nobody knows what makes the sun rise."

"We have excellent records of its reliable daily rise, going back centuries."

But sunrise is caused by rotation of a spheroid planet, in no way implied by those records.


The sun rose today is a fact only if you can prove it. I think you're crazy everyone knows the sun just appeared out of nowhere.

PS: Your aunt Sally called, she misses you.


> everyone can agree on

People don't even agree which direction the sun comes up.


It's in the SUN so it must be true!

The same thing that lead me to the conclusion that the sun will rise tomorrow.

I don't really know for sure, but it seems to fit the pattern and that's the best i can hope for in absence of other data.


In other news, the sun rises in the east and sets in the west.

The sun will rise tomorrow is an opinion/speculation. The sun rose today is a fact.

> the scientific approach is different -- it's all about finding patterns that do repeat and making predictions

Sure, but if you're scientifically looking to answer "where and when will the sun rise" you're only going to collect enough variables to answer that question, and within an acceptable margin of error, right? If you can measure with greater accuracy and collect more data, then you would probably realize that every sunrise is not strictly identical.

We're splitting hairs at this point but I wonder if the comment I replied to that stated that "it has never happened before and will never happen again" can't be argued to be actually true. In a philosophical sense it's more obvious, but in a scientific sense, the more precision you get in your analysis of a sunrise, the more data you would get that differentiates it from other sunrises, no? After all, our solar system isn't closed and constant and there are minor changes not only in smaller factors like weather on Earth, but also larger factors like the orbit of the earth and the drift of the different planetary bodies.


It’s an entropy thing. You don’t write the sun rose in the east, but if it rose in the west that would contain more information.
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