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The raw numbers don't lie. Both brackets (0-35k and 35k-100k) have been shrinking as a percetage of the population, with 100k+ growing.


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Interestingly, the population has only decreased by about 1%. It's amazing how such a seemingly small change can have such a large effect.

It is still small in relation to population change though.

In my town, population went down but children-per-family decreased even more, effectively raising the number of households/family-units that needed separate homes. A raw population count is not always what it seems.

This isn't actually correct, or at least it's not a correct interpretation of the data. The absolute number increased, but it decreased as a percentage of population, which is the relevant number here.

Population went from 289 million to 329 million. That’s not nothing.

The decrease was in estimated 2021 vs 2020 population, not census 2020 vs 2010.

But we know from web statistics that these are very few people and shrinking every year.

Incorrect. You can have an increasing segment of the population in count but the percentage of that population of the whole of the population is decreasing.

> Rate of change: Enrollment increased by 4 times. Population increased by 100 times.

But 20,000 / 1,500 is 13x.


It's still true. At least when taking population changes into account.

Which is fewer than 1990, despite the population growing.

What is this 'shrinking demographic' exactly?

Absolute population growth includes immigration, so those numbers may be skewed somewhat.

I don’t think numbers are declining.

In related news, see https://www.rrmediagroup.com/News/NewsDetails/NewsID/18899


This is the change in the size of each economic group between 1979 and 2014 as a percent of the total population

Then aren't your numbers a positive sign? The size of the poor, lower middle class and middle class have shrank and the upper middle and rich have grown.

Doesn't that suggest that people are generally moving up in economic class?


So from 80, to 500, in a population of almost 9 million?

That's not to mention that we need to look at numbers in a long term trend, looking at 1 or 2 years of data doesn't show the full story.


It's almost as if this is correlated with the population increase. Almost.

This sounds extreme, but it's not as extreme as everyone seems to think.

200M is closer to 37M (+163M) than 370M (-170M).

OP is saying a 10% decrease is more likely than the population staying even.

I disagree - but not as wildly as I would if OP was saying that the population is likely to actually be close to 37M.

200M is quite far from 37M... It's just that 370M is even farther...


Article was posted April 2020.

The numbers today are probably much higher with little change in overall proportions.

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