The problem with Watson is that they don't have a business case. IBM sent salespeople to big customers with big problems and tried to find things to fix. In some cases, they did. But most of the time, the insurance companies, government agencies, etc they do business with scratched their heads and didn't do anything. Learning new things about their data might be seen as a threat to whatever enterprise bullshit they do!
The problem is you have companies like Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, etc have problems that this tech solves. It's easier to come up with a product with a problem that you understand. I can ask Google Photos or Siri to show me pictures of my dog in the snow in 2015, and they do. So I give Google & Apple money to store my crap. Google and Facebook use AI with all of the data they hoover up to peddle products to me. My grandparents get ads for depends, I get ads for drones, Google and Facebook make $.
Now, companies like Amazon, Microsoft and Google can go to companies that were prospected by IBM with solutions. Microsoft is minting money with ATP, because enterprise security teams suck. Amazon is selling creepy facial recognition to people, because people see it on TV, have a Ring doorbell, and want the capability. Google is selling GIS solutions, etc based on work done on maps.
I feel like IBM markets Watson towards your non-technical business people through actual business applicable problems where as companies like google market their products towards solving hard technological problems.
As a software developer, I follow the technical solutions more closely so I love google, but actual business that results in revenue/profit points to other companies like IBM (based on other comments in this thread) making the actual money off of these technologies.
Whose strategy will pay off more in the long term is anyone's guess though.
The Watson stuff is so oversold it is almost comical.
And yes, sure IBM hasn't been about hardware for a long time, they've been a services company for decades now. But as far as AI/ML is concerned Google and Facebook are attracting the top talent these days, Apple and Microsoft much further down the line.
What would be nice is if they would take the opposite tack, rather than marketing the hell out of it quietly solve lots of problems that are hard to solve in a traditional way. Every time I hear about Watson it is in the context of something where I ask myself "What's the point of being able to do that?". If all there is to hype is the hype itself then it is hollow.
The problems with Watson does not mean that this is a problem with AI. If history is any guide IBM fails but eventually succeeds during most technological revolutions (PC, ecommerce etc)
IBM is famous for charging people for the privilege of talking to them, even if you're trying to sell them something.
This strategy makes sense if you consider that even in it's heyday Watson was 95% data science consulting firm and 5% actual valuable technology.
I really think Watson is one of the biggest tech marketing bamboozles of the 21st century. Through Jeopardy they really had a segment of the business world and the general public convinced that they had cracked AI, but behind the scenes it was all one-off custom solutions under one trademark.
IBM have built several, individually successful pieces of technology, all branded as "Watson", and used the impression that they are a single entity to market it as far smarter than it actually is.
Under the hood "Watson" technologies seem to fall into 3 categories:
- The very successful publicity stunt on Jeopardy. The technology here was good, although from what I understood from tech talks given by IBM, it was a bit more brute force than you might think.
- Custom built software, often for medical and legal purposes, that is effective, if limited in scope, and comes with a hefty consulting and support contract. You're essentially buying a data science team at IBM.
- Productised machine learning APIs, that aren't particularly great, and are very isolated in their abilities.
(1) is fun but not useful to anyone really, (2) is useful, but expensive and no better than what you'd get from most other consultancies, or might be worse knowing IBM's consulting practices, and (3) is too limited to build the core of a business on, so will likely only ever be used to provide a step up until companies move technologies in house.
Other reports seemed to indicate that Watson (and maybe all AI) requires a lot of very careful, slow, and somewhat arduous data entry and testing to get good results.
I can imagine someone who doesn't know at IBM selling a product:
"Hey we will solve all these problems like magic!"
Then IBM comes back:
"Hey do you have all this data in a specific format and a ton of time to enter and test it and maybe we'll get back to you???"
That's a big loss of trust there with the customer if you come back with that.
It seems like these are products where a lot of caveats needs to be made clear to customers and a real careful technical partnership formed with them to succeed long term. You have to bring the customer along for the ride and exploration and keep them excited for a long time it sounds to make it work.
I’d bet good money Watson got sold to a bunch of companies who wanted “AI” then they didn’t do anything useful with it.
It was a smart play by IBM, the sales guys want to say AI and machine learning, so give them some generic crap which gets loosely integrated into parent projects and they can have a field day on the phone selling it.
Watson would be a perfect study on modern big business software that these billion dollar consultancy companies engage in.
Plus IBM makes even more doing the “integration” than the original sale.
Watson is one of the biggest empty marketing slogans ever. The marketing makes it almost seems like General AI able to easily solve your pressing problems if you pay IBM money.
As a non-expert, it seems like the top end researchers are working for Google(Hinton, Bengio, etc), Facebook(LeCun), Baidu, Uber (ex CMU faculty). I don't really see a lot of machine learning research coming out of IBM comparable to the others.
IBM seems to running on the fumes of it's previous greatness while burning the ship to generate stock market returns.
The real problem is that Everybody is afraid to share data with them because they know Watson will become better at the expense of company's business model.
I'm wondering why, as a company, IBM doesn't seem to be doing good in their core business, yet somehow they want us to believe they are at the forefront of the latest darling new technology in ML research and cognitive computing?
If they are unable to attract talent and innovate in their core business, how are they supposedly pursuing sophisticated AI, and the biggest question, is why?
What other products or innovations have come out of IBM Research? What is their overall reputation, and why should we believe them? Why don't they release Watson to the world, like Microsoft did with their twitter bot?
If I were a recent grad or even mid level in my career and wanted to work on as interesting projects as I could, I wouldn't be going to IBM. My first priority would be access to interesting and varied datasets, such as what can be obtained at Facebook, Google, Amazon, or another such company. A close second would be any of the players in the hardware ML industry such as Nvidia.
I don't understand what's so special about Watson, it all seems like marketing BS to me for a company in the death throws.
I don't know, Watson is actually one of the most publicly-recognized names in the AI game. If they leverage that correctly, there's a lot of opportunities there.
Especially since most people who want to use AI would view Google as a competitor because of the number of services it operates, and IBM is more likely to support someone's desire for on-premises solutions. (The on-site enterprise solutions Google had for search and Earth, for comparison, have been recently discontinued.)
Watson is basically a brand name for IBM's data analytics consulting services. My understanding is they're not that great at it, they haven't scored any major wins outside of that Jeopardy run. I don't have any articles on hand but i seem to recall reading about some failures with a medical partner in particular, but then that's been a tough field for other big names like Google, too.
Yeah, having worked with Watson for Data or whatever they're calling it now, Watson is not as powerful as marketed. Watson is a way for IBM to appear to be on the edge of tech, because people do not understand the constraints of ML.
Many years ago when I worked for a company that decided our existing ecommerce app was too terrible to fix and would be too much effort to rebuild, we talked to a number of vendors, including IBM. The marketing materials and salespeople made a compelling case, but deeper dives into the app itself and the support engineers behind it convinced even the most enthusiastic internal cheerleaders to look elsewhere.
In recent years as news articles heralding the future of Watson for various industries (including healthcare and supply chain), I predicted a similar path. An amazing product in a very narrow environment designed specifically for marketing and selling purposes, and not very adaptable.
FTA: “And everybody’s very happy to claim to work with Watson,” Perlich said. “So I think right now Watson is monetizing primarily on the brand perception.”
This is painfully obvious, as this has been IBM for a very long time.
Sure, but Watson isn’t really a product and IBM isn’t really a merchant here. There’s never going to be a Watson review anywhere because (AFAICT) Watson is just a marketing name for a wide range of technologies, none of which do any of the stuff shown in the TV commercials. That’s the problem.
I don’t even know who those ads are targeting. Anyone who knows anything at all about this stuff will be dismayed at the sheer BS of it all. Everyone else seeing the ads isn’t in a position to steer customers towards IBM for all their AI needs. They really need to kill the whole ad campaign, surely it’s doing IBM more harm than good.
> Learning new things about their data might be seen as a threat to whatever enterprise bullshit they do!
No, the problem was that Watson would be unable to help you learn anything new about enterprise data. IBM didn't even have a plausible, non-trivial proof of concept to trot out six years ago.
I've asked many IBM employees to explain to me what Watson actually does (like for real, not the marketing BS that's on TV) that would make me want to buy it. Nobody could explain it. Literally some where just like "yeah, I think they're still trying to figure out how they can make a product out of it."
The Jeopardy thing was cool but since then it's turned into this mystery black box that will supposedly solve all your problems, but nobody's can seem to point to any real successes that would matter to a business. Honestly it seems mostly like marketing fluff built on some midly proprietary distributed computing technology.
The problem is you have companies like Google, Microsoft, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, etc have problems that this tech solves. It's easier to come up with a product with a problem that you understand. I can ask Google Photos or Siri to show me pictures of my dog in the snow in 2015, and they do. So I give Google & Apple money to store my crap. Google and Facebook use AI with all of the data they hoover up to peddle products to me. My grandparents get ads for depends, I get ads for drones, Google and Facebook make $.
Now, companies like Amazon, Microsoft and Google can go to companies that were prospected by IBM with solutions. Microsoft is minting money with ATP, because enterprise security teams suck. Amazon is selling creepy facial recognition to people, because people see it on TV, have a Ring doorbell, and want the capability. Google is selling GIS solutions, etc based on work done on maps.
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