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I don't think the retail purchases were as concentrated.


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I believe you are mistaken. Have a look at the report as it's definitely an interesting read. From what I understand, retail was the majority of the volume.

It wasn't totally clear to me if those were all physical purchases or not. However, it would be shocking if in-store sales weren't markedly down. I basically haven't been in a store casually to browse for over a year and I doubt that's unusual.

Great observation. I'm trying to figure out why that is. Couple guesses:

* Less buying options

* No online shopping so the FOMO of a better deal is not there

* The staff actually knew what they were talking about and less salesy than they are today


Maybe there is retail churn.

There were very few sales today. Almost all the stuff was at our near retail.

I would’ve expected a bigger drop. But these numbers include online sales.

I suppose some of the drop is countered by people being less price-conscious: e.g. going to 1 grocery store instead of 3 to capture all the sales. Or buying more expensive TP because that’s all thats available.


True.

But since this is a pretty small amount relative to total outstanding it implies that most buying has been retail.


Fair enough and consumers are rewarded for carefully researched shopping. However, many of the days we compared were specifically billed as major "sale" days and so I, at least, found the price inflation disconcerting.

The existence of a second-hand market meaning a few less sales for fresh/new/retail product seems very self evident though.

That's because most of those sales are from institutional/corporate customers, not households.

(also seems kinda weird to measure this with black Friday sales... Which could simply be an indicator of people trying to get further with the money they have by spending less during non sale periods. But I assume there's more evidence than what's at the top of the article.)

I'm sure some retailers also pumped the price.

That's good to hear. My numbers were from some retailers I knew. Their biz must have been pretty skewed towards the holiday. Thanks for digging out that report!

Difference is, I play both sides, while retail only knows "buy buy buy" when the prices were rising.

Small-time individuals don’t get the same sorts of deals as major retailers.

The problem is that much of the buy demand seems to be on the retail side. But the retailers have shut that down, so you're left selling to a portion of the market that has the lease demand for what you're selling.

In store you don't sell much unless you are under a certain price range.

Again, basically evidence that sales aren't growing as quickly as thought, they still aren't down.

The person you replied to was talking about retail consumers. Retail prices don't always move in step with wholesale.
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