Are we at a point where all weather events should be classified as climate change regardless of any proof or reason to do so? Some places are generally dryer than others and weather patterns aren’t restricted to small timescales just because that’d make things easier.
Bus driver taps sign: Weather isn't climate. Occurrences of extreme weather isn't climate change. Long term trends in the frequency of extreme weather however, could be linked to climate change. But one dry or cold spell no matter how extreme isn't possible to attribute to climate change.
Sure but that's not the point. The point is associating any single weather event with climate change is wrong whether it helps your case or not.
You can say something like over the last decade droughts are 32% more frequently than in the previous decade but just tacking it arbitrarily on to any reporting about a particular weather event is misleading.
Specific weather should not be correlated with climate. Saying X natural disaster was caused by climate change should be looked down upon in the same way conservatives might say X cold snap proves climate change isn't real/is exaggerated.
We should use averages to build evidence for climate change, not specific weather patterns on any particular day, especially considering monsoons have been happening for millions of years
No single weather event can be reliably tied to climate change, though. Presumably it's on the insurance company to prove that an event falls into an excluded category, so it's a matter of time before someone fights them on it and wins.
Would love to see someone put there name on a list that says "these weather events were caused by climate change" and "these were not, we expected them".
These weather data points are direct confirmation of the climate change trend. It's been predicted and predictable that this will happen again and again. It'd only be news if it WASN'T happening. Therefore, It is absolutely appropriate to point to climate change here.
Every religion has a global flood myth, climate change is just the one of the scientifically religious and its zealots get just as upset if you don’t believe it as if you think Noah’s ark didn’t happen.
We can't even predict, or agree how to predict which direction a hurricane will travel outside the span of a week or two. Weather predictions, like climate change predictions, are based on models- models which are based on different theories of how air masses, temperatures, and pressure interact to affect the atmosphere.
It's not unreasonable in the least to say, "Perhaps the climate is changing, but I am highly skeptical of the models that specifically implicate AGW in certain weather patterns, or insinuate that certain weather patterns are the direct result of climate change" In fact I think it's much more plausible that a few decades of "dry weather" would be categorized as weather phenomena and not climate phenomena, since such decades-long changes in weather patterns are frequently a part of the historical record.
It's not about how many events, but how many years. We can say that climate change would be expected to cause these weather events, but weather isn't climate until it's observed for much longer than we have so far.
There's no doubt climate change can and will produce these effects, so the best articles will just say that A) these events are extreme, and B) we will see many more of them until they become the new normal.
There are widespread changes in the weather pattern. A single event can be excused, tens of thousands of such events across the globe cannot be. We already understand the connection between climate change and extreme weather, no need to wait decades or centuries to act.
Climate change doesn't mean that it will consistently get hotter everywhere. Paradoxically severe cold weather can also become more frequent as the temperature increases, usually as a result of Arctic warming, which warms much faster than the rest of the planet.
Climate change involves more extreme weather events, including anomalous temperatures in both directions. An increase in average temperatures doesn't do as much visible damage as an increase in probability of long-tail events. It is accurate and important to connect statistically extreme weather events to climate change.
I feel like climate change and increase in extreme weather events are the same thing though. I’ve been familiar with this term for decades. It’s not new.
Climate change isn't the weather. It isn't one year or several years, it's a trend over decades or centuries or millennia.
Do you know what's normal? Abnormal weather. Exceptional circumstances happen all the time, weather conditions do not follow a bell curve.
I am not at all denying climate change, but you can never point to an event and shout about it. It's a long term statistical trend, not a few coincidental events. It's one variable out of many that cause every weather event.
Warmer water is absolutely not related to climate change when you're talking about small scale short term events.
The problem is that for now, it's still a statistical anomaly, like the snow in Brazil is; it's uncommon, but if it's only a few days, it's going to be a blip on the radar and only a few tenths of a degree in annual statistics.
The temperature at the moment is weather; annual and multi-year statistics is climate.
Another commenter posted https://twitter.com/RARohde/status/1410157638109872134?s=19, which shows this is a statistical anomaly; only when this kind of weather happens year on year, and when the averages go up, can you speak of climate change.
(disclaimer: just being devil's advocate, climate change is real and "freak weather events" are becoming so common now that you can't deny it being a trend and the direct effect of global climate change)
Climate change increases the frequency of previously rare events.
By definition, any unprecedented weather event in the last few years is linked to it. Excluding those, what weather event reporting are you referring to?
People saying it’s a nice seasonably warm day, or noting historically average precipitation last week, and blaming climate change?
Basically, climate change is occurring, and is known to cause extreme weather events. So when there's an extreme weather event, it could be evidence of climate change. Each individual one is not proof of climate change, but in aggregate they are strong evidence. And of course they're not the only evidence.
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