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> He's going to do something resembling the statutory max

I don't think you're right, but in any case, even if he receives the statutory max, it's unlikely he'll do it and stay in jail for 115 years.



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> is why this guy [not the hacker] is getting 25 years.

No, he is not getting 25 years. He is being sentenced for a crime whose statutory maximum punishment is 25 years, for an offense which, under the circumstances put forward by the prosecutors, has a base guideline sentence of about 5 years (which is also what prosecutors have said they will seek in sentencing.)

The defense is likely to, in sentencing, challenge the prosecution position on damages, which may result in the guideline range being substantially lower. There is, basically, zero chance of a sentence anywhere close to 25 years here.


> Is the maximum sentence particularly useful information? How does this fact aid my understanding of the severity of what he's done?

In this case, probably not - 20 years is pretty stiff, and the crime implies that typical sentences are much less than that.

But if the maximum sentence was say... 6 months instead; or just a fine. Yeah - I think that would be useful information.


>I would imagine this is a life-in-prison sort of scenario;

You'd be surprised. He could be out in 10 years or so, even if convicted.


> carrying a maximum of 80 years in prison

It boggles the mind that it's even possible to manufacture such a charge. In most European countries you would get the highest sentence for the biggest crime, which although wouldn't be "accurate" either, it's a whole lot closer to what the punishment should be than stacking the sentences up.

And please spare me the "but he would never get this sentence anyway!" argument. If you were in his position and the government would tell you you're risking 80 years in prison unless you fully cooperated with it, you'd shit your pants, too, and you'd probably give up any rights you have just to not risk getting anywhere close to that sentence, or you would even settle and plead guilty to avoid that.


> His punishment should be of the same order as someone who did those things.

Sure, it should be. I haven't done the research but 10 years is above and beyond what I'd expect, any comparable cases out there?


> the guy will be walking free in another 9 years time.

This is not true. He was sentenced to 21 years in prison, but his prison stay can be extended, indefinitely, as long as he is deemed a danger to society.

I would be extremely surprised if Breivik walks at the end of the 21 years.


> Considering he served 12 or so years I’m not sure he won anything.

He didn't serve 12 years. He locked himself in his room for 7, then he actually served 5.


>Suddenly changing his sentence to death is rather suspicious, but at least for me it doesn’t make a huge difference compared to a 15-year sentence.

I'm guessing going from 15 years to death sentence is probably a big difference to him.


> reduce my sentence or it dies with me

He would go to jail. This isn’t even a tough one.


> So he still gets almost another full year in a UK jail.

My thought was the judge gave him a year to give him a chance to fight the extradition.

Without that - he possibly would have been snapped up pretty quickly.


>>* Hitting a 17yo with 30 felony charges feels a bit steep to me.*

what charge should they leave out? Also he will not serve, say 15 years X 30 charges, if found guilty.

Now they are dealing with him, what happens to Twitter, if anything, is a different story. 17 years old or 19...he knew what he did


< who would have been sentenced to 124 years in prison

This is a number floated as possible years of time, but it is not what he 'would have been' sentenced. We don't know because he decided to turn snitch.


> If he had been German it would have 60 years for those same multiple crimes.

Nope. That's nonsense. Contrary to other countries, prison time isn't added on a per-conviction basis in Germany. There's maximum prison time per crime (in this case: 15 years) and that's that.


>Provided the allegations are true, whatever sentence he gets will not be enough...

While Lin is undoubtedly a terrible person, I still think 17.5 years in federal prison is rather excessive unless you've actually killed someone.


> This guy is now marked for life [...] based on the subjective option of a judge

That is not quite what this is. He hasn’t been convicted of anything; the judge is determining the conditions on which he can be released before the trial happens and making that determination requires the judge to weigh the available evidence and apply a legal standard—albeit one where ‘danger’ doesn’t align with its everyday definition-to determine if some level of monetary bail is required.

I do agree that he may well be marked for life and in the sense that Google will remember this event forever, even if he is acquitted at trial.


> even this length of sentence has a high chance of producing a hardened, bitter criminal with hacking skills

Given the guy’s arrest record, a longer sentence would serve the goal of incapacitation well.


> Is his only current crime skipping bail on charges he believed were fake?

No, he's already served the time for that. He's held strictly for extradition by now.


> Okay, but he already knows that's not how it works, as he was not sentenced by adding up the maximum possible sentences for each of his crimes.

Yes, he was.

https://www.justice.gov/media/785641/dl?inline

    I look then to Section 5G1.2{d) of the guidelines, which
    tells us that where there are multiple counts, and the
    guideline range exceeds the statutory maximum for the most
    serious count, the court must impose consecutive terms of
    imprisonment to the extent necessary to achieve the total
    punishment.
    
    There is a little bit of ambiguity, however, as to
    what is meant by "total punishment" where the guideline
    calculation calls for ~ife imprisonment, but Second Circuit
    case law makes clear that in such a situation, the district
    court is to stack or add up the maximum sentences for all
    the counts.
    
    In United States v. Evans, for example, 352 F.3d 65,
    where the guideline calculation called for life
    imprisonment but no count carried a life sentence, the
    court held that the guideline range is 240 years, the
    maximum sentences for all the counts added together.
    
    Accordingly, here the guideline range is not life
    imprisonment, but 150 years, the maximum sentences for each
    of the 11 counts added together.

> I'm certain he will out soon with a slap on the wrist

Did you expect he'd never be charged? Did you expect he'd never be found guilty? I don't know where this kind of cynicism is coming from.

I'd be absolutely shocked if he's sentenced to less than 5 years. I expect him to actually get north of 15 years.

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