Some regional governments can't keep up with demand. For example, a month or so ago, the Mountain View department responsible for reviewing and approving new developments asked the council for a temporary moratorium. They had over 90 projects in review or development and simply couldn't keep up with them all.
New (expensive) housing is popping up all over Mountain View right now...
We can’t keep up with demand. There’s constant construction everywhere. It’s been a running joke for years that if you try to walk/ride/bus/drive anywhere you’ll encounter a new development each time.
Sure, some of the problem is that the new developments are almost all too expensive for current residents but I’m not sure how you deal with that. The common wisdom is more vacancies lead to a renter’s market but it hasn’t panned out. To the extent there are vacancies they’re all investment properties.
“We’ve tried everything except building more housing and we’re all out of ideas!”
I’m baffled how local governments can’t seem to connect the supply side.
30k new jobs + 8k new housing units = higher housing prices
Or for a more hilarious ratio, look at Mountain View over the last 15 years. I think for a decade there were effectively zero new units created.
Part of the reason housing is so expensive is because of all the zoning meaning you can't build up, or otherwise create denser housing. Supply is not meeting demand.
That seems to be a common problem. In New Zealand, especially Auckland, there's a housing shortage so the local governments have relaxed zoning restrictions. But there's also a shortage of builders so they can't build fast enough and housing will stay expensive for years until that catches up.
In the short term at least, the suburbs are not able to absorb a big surge. Some places are seeing two or three times normal demand. There’s no way they can adapt fast enough and prices in those places are rising.
If you keep building, eventually you will meet the pent up demand. Your scenario might match the first batch of new housing, but it can't continue indefinitely. Eventually you have more houses than people.
There is a ton of pent-up demand in the bay area, because this has been going on for a long time. People who own houses there are going to fight you the whole way.
IIRC, new housing is not being approved for construction mainly because the local gov is full of people who own real estate. In a natural situation, supply would be increased to meet demand.
This suggests that it's not only just that rents are high, but also that the current housing stock is not configured for the type of demand (small homes for few people, instead of large homes for lots of people).
The amount of homes being built in areas where people want them built aren't enough to offset demand. In areas where denser housing is required (coastal cities), zoning and NIMBYism prevents it.
Housing doesn’t fit the traditional supply/demand model b/c incumbent owners are able to increase there wealth by using the power of the state to constrain supply through zoning and other regulatory means.
The time constraint you mention is often artificial, six months for permitting here and two months for an impact study there. Actual construction is surprisingly fast.
New (expensive) housing is popping up all over Mountain View right now...
reply