Beaked whales in general are fascinating. Only a fraction of a percent of people will likely every see one and only a fraction of those people will even know that they're seeing something more notable than any other whale. They're incredibly poorly understood to the point where there are very possibly species that are completely unknown to science.
> All sorts of talented musicians have done incredible things with MIDI. The resolution of MIDI has been just fine for people with real chops. MIDI 2.0 isn't going to solve the real problem: talent vacuum.
I find it difficult to believe that someone with even a passing knowledge what MIDI does would have this opinion. Most of the variables are only 7 bits of resolution which produces jarring jumps when you try to adjust parameters in real time.
I remember taking a college class 20 years ago where we talked about the deficiencies of MIDI and what MIDI 2.0 should look like. It's been 20 years since that conversation and it's mind boggling to me that MIDI is only getting updated now.
If you're anything like me, your exposure to the marketing has come almost exclusively through live-reads on Podcasts. I can see wanting to avoid price talk for this format of ads because the listener may be listening months or years after the episode was recorded and may be frustrated if they hear one price mentioned on the podcast, but another when the go to the site.
This is indeed true on a statistical basis, but as someone who is technically at the very upper limits of being a millennial I think there is a tendency to exaggerate this trend. Most of the people I grew up with live in the suburbs and have kids. It's delayed compared to older generations, but most of them have ended up there eventually. I'd also say that a huge portion of my (Seattle area) Costco's shoppers are immigrants who likely work in tech and from what I can tell they seem to be making similar choices to what older american generations have with regards to children and where they choose to live.
Would it be impossible for Excel to allow coding in multiple languages? I totally get that there's a huge (disturbing) amount of business critical stuff using the current scripts, but they really should move on to something more modern.
Has anything outside of some incredibly archaic library system even used Gopher in the last 20 years? To me its one of those protocols that I only remember because I hope to use it to answer some trivia question someday. Right up there with Archie and Veronica.
> It's true that the current measures put the economy on freeze mode but really even if businesses are closed down temporarily, no assets are lost. Even if the stock market contracts sharply, after this is over the planes are still in the hangars and the restaurants still exist.
Of course this is true, but was it any less true of any of any major recession or depression in the last 100 years? It's not like the 2008 recession was caused by a major drought/famine or war. There were plenty of assets then, but they just sat unused because the system had broken down so much that people couldn't or wouldn't use/purchase them.
Probably mostly this, but I also notice a major uptick in my own daylight Coyote sightings in the early spring. My assumption has always been that this is breeding season and animals with new pups are forced to spend more of their time foraging.
Costco has done a really good job of handling this tough situation. Beyond this, I've noticed a few other things:
* Stock most items overnight so that if you absolutely need something you can prioritize getting there before they open and likely getting it rather than having to come back over and over (or go to multiple other stores), which limits exposure.
* Set aside additional hours before the general opening for seniors.
* Limit high-demand items. This does have some perverse ramifications for a few items. For instance, we wanted about 4 dozen eggs to get us through a few weeks. Unfortunately the smaller packs were limited to 1 so we ended up having to buy 5 dozen.
* Flood the market with in-demand items to create confidence. I think this is a Seattle thing, but last week I started seeing social mediate posts showing literal aisles composed of nothing but toilet paper. Many people (myself included to some extent) are just just buying because they don't want to get caught without TP when they run out, but if they feel that it's likely it will be in stock they won't rush out to buy some immediately.
As someone with a fairly limited understanding of how these sterilizing UV rays work, I've wondered if it would be possible to install overhead UV lights that either came on at intervals or were on constantly to help sterilize surfaces in common areas that see high numbers of people. For example, inside of elevators.
Is something like that just not practical/possible or has it just not been seen as a priority prior to our current situation?
I am not a microbiologist, but I'm not confident that this "three week annual quarantine" even works in an ideal world, much less the imperfect world that we actually live in.
Is it a guarantee that 100.0000000000% of the population will eliminate the virus with their own immune system in three weeks? If one or two people with poor immune systems carry around the virus for one day past the quarantine then we we would very quickly have gotten back to where we started.
It's also implausible to quarantine everyone for the same three week period. Are we just supposed to let anyone with a major health crisis die at home if it happens mid-quarantine? What would we do about the millions of people who require round the clock care in nursing facilities, etc.?
Additionally, I'm willing to bet that if we dedicated 5.8% of worldwide GDP (21 days out of 365) to fighting viruses, the results would be much more successful and less invasive.
Perhaps in the short term, but in the long-term a weeks or months long delay in care will likely cause an uptick in deaths. Many major issues are initially caught as patients investigating what seem like minor issues, but turn out to be cancer, etc.
Suicides is certainly the most obvious and explicit way to measure loss of life from the 2008 recession, but it's certainly not the whole story. Overdose deaths (70,000+ in 2018 in the US), and other addiction-related deaths are probably significantly exasperated by economic crisis.
I'm not arguing that the deaths from the virus won't outnumber deaths related to the quarantine, but they will be significant. They will also be much more likely to involve younger people whereas the virus is mostly killing people who are within a 10 years of reaching the average life expectancy for their country or above.
I'm willing to bet the name "Great Horned Owl" was purposeful for a vehicle where quiet is a priority. Owls have feathers which make them essentially silent in flight.
There is a incredible difference between "I'm taking a month off of work" and "I'm being forced to stay in my home, physically isolated from my friends and forced to be around those I share a home with 24/7, with the possibility of financial hardship in the near or far term."
My wife and I are trying to manage a 6 year old and 3 year old and the original comment made me try to imagine what the theoretical hardest age to try to work from home with would be. 5mo and 2yr is roughly what I came up with in my head.
Not that it helps much, but you have my sympathy. If it feels like it's really, really hard, stressful, and frustrating it's because it is. And that's okay.
1) Very hard to say. As others have commented, we have not seen anything of this nature before, where governments have essentially made it illegal for perhaps ~40% of the workforce to work with no end in sight.
2) One thing that keeps occurring to me over the last few weeks are the parallels to war. It seems like people are always obsessed with "fighting the last war" and when usually the current war is really nothing like the last war. The truth is, the current situation is not really comparable to 2008 due to its causes and in my mind the severity and length of recovery will highly depend on how long it continues.
At least in the US, governments seem to be stringing the country along with "just a little longer" promises, but as the virus continues to explode despite unprecedented restrictions it seems increasingly unlikely that we're going to see a return to normal any time in 2020. Businesses and individuals who could have easily survived a month of shutdown are going to be unable to survive for 6-9 months of shutdown and things are going to start getting very chaotic.
3) Weird. Some sectors of the economy are going redline as demand surges, but others are going to flatline.
4) They'll print money and pray that we can pull out of the dive. This is going to be much easier for some countries (US) than others (Euro zone). It will be very interesting to see how quickly politicians are willing to acknowledge that they're not facing a short-term issue, but rather a long term issue with a ton of uncertainty.
As someone who just got off the phone with Lowes not an hour ago with a very similar appliance delivery issue, I took a little solace in your comment since I at least feel like I didn't just choose the wrong hardware store.
With that said, the problems with my order are somewhat mind boggling. I received an email notifying me that my appliance would be delivered on 4/7 and to be home in a 12hr window. When I, by luck, contacted the store to talk about another problem I'm having with this order they informed me it will likely be another 5-8 days until its actually delivered and that this is a known issue with their system. How does a known issue where you're telling your customers to be home for a delivery on a day a week+ removed from the actual delivery survive for long enough for it to be common knowledge?
Newegg has a good website, but their customer service and return policy is not up to par with other retailers and I have started buying from other vendors if the price is remotely close for this reason.
I have heard anecdotally that some grocery stores are starting to carry 25lb bags. Another grocery store apparently started having their bakery rebag flour into smaller bags and sell it.
I made the mistake of buying a 25lb bag of flour a couple years ago. It's a complete pain to store, even as someone with a relatively large american suburban house.
For anyone looking for flour, I suggest looking for stores that supply local small businesses and restaurants with supplies. I stopped by my local "Smart Food Service" (formerly Cash & Carry) for something else and noticed that they appeared to have decent stock of all their flour. Although the sizes were larger than you'd find at the grocery store, the overall price per pound was cheaper.
I did the math on this a few weeks ago because I was curious. My math was this:
(Population x A) / (LifeExpectancyInYears x 365.25)
A is an unknown variable that equals the what amount of a day people consider as "lost" as a result of mandated lockdown. IE, if everyone considers each day they spend not able to go about their business as a day of their life completely lost than A would equal 1. I suppose some people could consider the cost of a day lost to mandated quarantine as greater than 1.
Anyway, by my calculations based on a US life expectancy of 77.5yrs (28,287.5 days) and a US population of 330 million then that puts the lifetimes lost per day at 11,666. Note, that's lifetimes lost. IE, as if 11,666 babies were born each day, but instead of living the their full life expectancy they all immediately died.
edit: Markdown ate my asterisk symbol and \ doesn't work as an escape character apparently? Changed asterisks to x and the x variable to A.
While I don't think anyone would argue that we are testing anything approaching "enough" people in the US, I would certainly not say we're testing "almost nobody". Looking at Politico's testing tracker ( https://www.politico.com/interactives/2020/coronavirus-testi... ), most states outside of the hotspots in the Northeastern US have administered about 10x as many tests as they have positive cases.
New York and the surrounding areas are obviously a different matter, but at this stage I suspect that even if they did have enough physical tests and capacity to process them they would not have anywhere near enough medical staff to physically administer them. There's also the tradeoff that asking hundreds of thousands of people to leave their dwellings to seek testing would do more harm than good in areas where that necessarily involves walking, public transportation, etc.
If you pay rent on your building you pay the same rate all the time, even if you're not open.
If you open up, the cost of powering your appliances, lighting, heating, etc. is all essentially the same whether or not you feeding 100 people a day or 1000.
Obviously things will differ greatly from industry to industry and company to company, but you're lying to yourself if you think this is going to end at startups. It takes a bit of time for dominoes to fall, but as the various factors such as consumer spending, B2B spending, supply-chain issues, etc. begin to ripple out the waves will effect more and more companies.
It will certainly be interesting to see how long it takes landlords to realize that there's about to be a ton of retail space on the market and that trying to absorb a couple months of not collecting rent from their businesses may make them more money in the long run than forcing a business to close and enduring 8/12/24 months of having an empty storefront.
It almost feels like a parody. "These 7 incredibly talented people brought 100 years of combined experience together to design...some rubber bands tied together."
If it works, then great, but why does it need a marketing director, creative director, etc.?
I can't speak for the drives mentioned in this article, but the WD Red drives were de facto marketed as PMR since the Red line was marketed by WD as the best drives for NAS. It'd be a little like if you went down to the your local Ferrari dealership and bought a Ferrari only to find that they'd started selling a model that couldn't reach 60mph.
My wife had a similar experience. Her issue is probably not major, but it could also be a serious cancer and who knows when they'll start taking clients again, much less catch up to her.
Making a rough guess of two months of shutdown, we've lost 1/6 of our annual non-emergency medical capacity for 2020. It'd be impossible to put a number on the cost in lives that means, but I think we can probably say with certainty that there are a non-insignificant number of people who will die or experience permanent medical issues because diagnosis and/or treatment was delayed.
Perhaps I've missed it, but I'm honestly shocked this isn't priority number one for a partial reopening in regions with low infection rates.
Other than the obvious drop in drivers due to unemployment, I don't see a plausible way that happens.
Taking public transit is probably one of the riskiest activities the average person might undertake in their day as far as contracting a virus. Whether or not that will cause people to take their cars instead is unknown, but I can't imagine it will increase ridership in the near term.
Additionally we may see a slowing down or even slight reversal in the trends of populations becoming more urban and more dense. Living in a 400sqft apartment is doable for some people when they're spending most of their free time at bars, parks, restaurants, etc., but after enduring months of those places inaccessible the idea of living in a less-dense suburb may be appealing to people.
Your risk of dying is, accepting the 0.37% for the sake of argument, 0.37% if you're infected. The actual chance of anyone, even of someone in a more dangerous demographic, of dying of Covid in their lifetime is significantly lower than that.
Additionally, I believe the 1% chance of dying in a car crash is over the course of a lifetime. A 55 year old has likely lived well over half their life and has also aged past a significant chunk of the riskiest time to be in a car (likely 16-30).
I recall buying a USB Bluetooth adapter in the mid 2000's that was maybe $12 shipped from Asia. If that was a the cost to the consumer for a device that was mostly a bluetooth radio I suspect that the cost to add bluetooth to a high volume product was probably at or below $5 ~15 years ago.
This is an anecdote not data, but I've heard several USPS delivery folks mention that a lot of long-tenured drivers decided to take vacation and sick time when the lockdown started ramping up. This has caused other drivers to pick up the slack so there may be a lot of overtime getting paid out.
>Nearly one third of 200 Chelsea residents who gave a drop of blood to researchers on the street this week tested positive for antibodies linked to COVID-19, a startling indication of how widespread infections have been in the densely populated city.
>The doctors used a diagnostic device made by BioMedomics, of Morrisville, N.C., to analyze drops of blood. It resembled an over-the-counter pregnancy test and generated results on the street in about 10 minutes.
This is the only recent testing I've seen that appears to be anything remotely resembling random. The sample size is also not incredibly small. That said, this is the first I've heard that there's a handheld device which can deliver an antibody test in 10 minutes and being completely out of that industry I have to wonder how likely it is that it's delivering a high level of false-positives?
It was discussed in another thread that I'll try to dig up, but the percentage of the population required to reach herd immunity goes up the more contagious a virus is. If way more people are infected then we think, then it points to some of the higher R0 estimates being accurate and would therefore require a much higher portion of the population to be immune before we reach herd immunity.
The previous tests I'd seen (I hadn't read about the Los Angeles test results posted today yet) had been fairly extremely not random. For example the homeless shelter in Massachusetts and pregnant women in New York. That's why I used the phrase "remotely resembling random."
The most plausible one I've heard was to heavily quarantine people at higher risk of dying or having severe complications from COVID-19 while having looser restrictions on people highly unlikely to suffer serious consequences. This would, theoretically, allow the virus to propagate throughout the population and a herd immunity to develop naturally.
It's relatively close to what's being done in Sweden, so I guess we'll at least end up with something of a test-case in retrospect.
Not really shocking, actually. The total turnaround time on the bailout bill was, what, a week and a half? Writing laws is complicated. I doubt anyone would be shocked if a large company cobbled together a hugely fairly complicated piece of software in two weeks and it turned out to have some major bugs. Writing a law like this is a bit like that, except with the additional downside that you can't really do any testing before release and you have people being paid to leverage the program for their own interests.
I actually heard and interesting interview [0] with one of the people in charge of the 2008 bailouts. He said the lessons learned were essentially don't worry about being too aggressive and don't worry about spending time trying to engineer a law that will target exactly who you feel like you should target. The most important thing is speed.
Also another data point suggesting that the virus is much more contagious than the early estimates said.
I personally don't see how the test, track and trace efforts that have been touted as the only way to open things up can work with a virus with these characteristics. You would need to test a huge percentage of the population each day with quick results tests and something like that is many months away from being possible assuming it ever would be possible.
It would be curious to see the Vox piece and I do hope someone drops a link in here. It would be most interesting to know if they were comparing it to the initial procedure (surgery + complications) or lifetime experience (Additional risk of death due to the remaining kidney failing).
That said, I feel like your points are a bit overstated. We now have 66 years worth of Kidney transplant data to show it's safe for both parties, but a lot of people needed to participate in what was a new, risk, experimental surgery to get us to this point.
At some point people have to be willing to take a little bit of risk to get data that could save untold lives and relieve unquantifiable suffering.
Additionally, if COVID-19 does indeed have some horrible long term effect, the cost us having less data or less valuable data now will have a much larger consequence than could ever be suffered by these volunteers.
I came to the conclusion a while ago that the current situation is essentially a mental "trap" for people who are "big thinkers" used to being able to look at large, complex problems and come up with reasonable plans to solve them. There's just an impossible amount of variables and every choice is "wrong" in that it has unconscionable downsides. There are no "good" solutions to Covid-19 only horrific solutions at every turn.
> x570 -> Requires active cooling (fans) on the chipset because it throws off too much heat. The proprietray fan will die and your motherboard needs replacing.
AMD does require fans on the chipsets for X570 boards, but different board makers have treated this differently. My understanding is that some boards don't spin it up unless you're putting some serious PCIE 4.0 bandwidth in. Either way, "The fan will die and needs replacing" may be true someday (as it would be with any fan), but is not a guarantee.
>x470 -> Don't even look at your memory the wrong way if you want it to boot. Also, you need an older gen Ryzen/Athlon to update the BIOS to something that works with Ryzen 3000. Sure, there are stickers all over the box touting 'Ryzen 3000 compatibility!' but that's only after you update the BIOS. The BIOS the board ships with won't work at all.
First gen Ryzen (1000 series chips) had some memory compatibility issues, but 2000 and 3000 chips haven't had many issues. It's true that you needed to do a BIOS upgrade on x470/B450 boards when 3000 series chips were released, but those stickers indicate that the board maker installed a newer BIOS and they should work out of the box. Unless you manage to find an X470 board that's been sitting on the shelf since before last July any x470 board you buy today is extremely likely to be compatible with all currently released Ryzen chips out of the box.
> b450 -> Dicier to run new stuff on such an older platform. The implementations are supposedly power weak for higher core count 3900/3950 CPUs.
3000 series chips use a smaller process and are more power efficient per-core than 2000 and 1000 series chips, so you should have no issue running an 8 core chip in a B450 board. 12-core and 16-core chips might have some issues, but who buys a $79 motherboard and sticks a $500/$900 CPU in it?
It feels like that, but I think the world has just become more complicated and the signal/noise ratio is different and the publishing avenues and methods are much more dispersed. Back in the BBS/Usenet days if you wanted to write a FAQ or doc on a specific topic you typically did it in one of the very few places (text file, FidoNet, usenet). Now you can create a video on Youtube, post on a major social network (Facebook group, subreddit, topic-specific forum, etc.), create your own webpage, etc.
As someone who grew up in the BBS era I am often nostalgic for it because everything felt a lot easier to grasp and much more simple, but in truth the amount of information out there and easy to access is many orders of magnitude higher these days.
Panic buying should be one of the main concerns here. The average American who is able to maintain several weeks worth of food supplies between grocery store should be trying to go to the grocery store as little as possible during this time with a reasonable expectation that there will be food there when they go. If panic buying and shortages start occurring, these same people may feel compelled to visit the grocery store increasingly often in hopes of finding the food they want or need. This could increase transmission rates a non-trivial amount since going to the grocery store is one of activities most likely to put us in contact with a contagious person in our everyday life.
I think to some of us "flatten the curve" is starting to feel like a March strategy to a May problem. A month ago everyone was concerned about ventilators and hospital beds and as far as I know the USA never hit capacity outside of, possibly, New York City. It's fantastic that we never got there, but now we need to focus on the new problems, which are vastly more complicated. We flattened the curve, but now we're staring down the barrel double digit unemployment, food shortages, businesses and jobs which will never come back, and probably many things we can't even imagine at this point.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beaked_whale