You're right, I didn't think carefully about the implications of having a news source manipulating the market they were betting on (the idea of which doesn't bother me at all, for some reason, that's a different topic).
I suppose what I meant by a bet was a quantified prediction about a well-defined measure of market health, with some stake in being correct (trust, if nothing else). A bet has the virtue of forcing one to be precise and to pick their claims carefully.
I suppose what I meant by a bet was a quantified prediction about a well-defined measure of market health, with some stake in being correct (trust, if nothing else). A bet has the virtue of forcing one to be precise and to pick their claims carefully.
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