They don't fail that reliably, unfortunately. It's not a light bulb with a certain number of hours on it. See Backblaze's drive statistics.
Edit: I just saw it's about ssds and not hdds, but while Backblaze might not have stats on those, I'm fairly sure my comment still applies. Not 100%, but I assume they account for failures due to predicable issues like write wear.
There are other comments in this thread that go into this, but your comment doesn't apply. Another poster used the light bulb analogy well to describe SSD failures.
It's very common to see SSDs that were purchased at the same time, that were likely manufactured in the same batch, fail within hours of each other. Im' pretty sure I even read this fact on Backblaze.
Edit: I just saw it's about ssds and not hdds, but while Backblaze might not have stats on those, I'm fairly sure my comment still applies. Not 100%, but I assume they account for failures due to predicable issues like write wear.
reply