What about the cost of transporting the energy from where it's generated (say Nevada) to where it's needed (say New York) ?
EDIT: I think for that use case you'll find that a reasonable technology doesn't exist for transporting electrons over that distance (I don't think there are any superconducting transmission lines in actual use) but pipelines have been around for a long time.
“A 1,100 kV link in China was completed in 2019 over a distance of 3,300 km with a power of 12 GW.” Which is rather close to your example. By comparison a major gas pipeline runs around 8 Million dollars a mile or ~16 Billion over that distance meanwhile that link cost under 6 billion USD. Granted our construction costs would be higher, but it’s not the kind of massive savings that changes the equation much.
Wind and Hydro are going to be part of the mix. So, outside of Alaska it’s largely a question of economics at this point. We already have huge investments in Coal and Nuclear which are being phased out of the market. But, cheap natural gas is a very different beast. As long as supply is abundant market forces are going to keep the price low enough to be attractive vs storage.
IMO, we are headed to about 70% renewables in 30 years baring major changes.
EDIT: I think for that use case you'll find that a reasonable technology doesn't exist for transporting electrons over that distance (I don't think there are any superconducting transmission lines in actual use) but pipelines have been around for a long time.
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