there is no "the people" as a single entity and interests when there is a revolt.

if everybody is armed, the supporters of the tyrant are going to be armed as well.

But with better equipment.

It’s mathematically better, I think that armed populace has a higher chance of revolt vs armed loyalist populace + armed military than unarmed populace vs unarmed loyalist + armed military.

And I also think the reasoning is that the anti-tyrannical populace will be much larger than the pro-tyrannical populace since if the tyrant has the support of the people then are they really a tyrant.

US is the only country in the western World who only made one real revolution.

And it was to not pay taxes, not against a true tyrant.

> And I also think the reasoning is that the anti-tyrannical populace will be much larger

The only thing that will be larger is the anti everybody else populace (tribalism, to give it a name).

USA had one major civil war and they keep killing each other like nowhere else in the World (like ten times more than the west average).

It's mathematically provable.