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I moved to live in a more walkable, less car dependent city. I care about us improving transit infrastructure, but the idea that American cities will significantly divest from their existing car-centric infrastructure is just wrong. We’ve already invested in that infrastructure and it is incredibly expensive to replace.

I think the replacement of manually driven vehicles will be decently rapid - the bottom 1/3rd of drivers cause a large percentage of motor vehicle accidents, as soon as they’re better than that group I think the financial incentives (like insurance) will dramatically change and it will be cheaper to ride in someone else’s self driving car than to own your own older vehicle.

Guess we will see.



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