Biotech-driven technologies in so many ways, exponentially and combinatorially explosive and mind-bending. Design and grow your living home. Have your gut biome become smarter than you. Effective age reversal. Agricultural foodbelts rewilded into prairies.
A merging of our device OSs. Right now our watches, phones, computers, tablets and TVs are different systems (even within the Apple ecosystem but imagine having a Fitbit, Android phone, Macbook and Samsung TV..)
i think the 'gpt scam' that you alleged will likely turn 50 years into 20 years.
year 2023 - gpt4 launched
year 2030 - AGI or sth equivalant launched and can create new knowlege and invent new tools at an astonisng speed
year 2040 - you will have 1 and 2 and much more
Well , can you really define AGI? Doesn't your definition of AGI change? Tons of people would already regard gpt4 as AGI ( though i think it is definitely not yet). We humans don't even fully understand our own intelligence and conciousness. We can't really define our own intelligence in a definte way. eg If your definition of AGI is it has a soul like some belive we are , then we will probably never have AGI as it can never be proved. For me, if an 'AGI' can have human like general behaviour/intelligence of better-than-average humans than it qualifies as AGI. I don't really care it is just statistics deep down just like we are just a bunch of molecures connecting to each other in some particular way.
Technology will take a backseat in societies, people will be more skeptical of technology instead of being optimistic about their impact.
Just like we've become skeptical of new medical procedures, drugs or products, we'll become skeptical about the supposedly beneficial impacts of technology on society and nature.
We'll reason about the second and third-order impacts of our behavior and try to change them accordingly, helping each other along the way.
I believe we'll see the ability to print silicon chips and PCBs at home, and single board micro-server racks.