> ... A sharper Lewis would have evaluated Sam on his own terms, tracking his probabilities and interrogating how closely they aligned with reality. At a minimum, he should have pressed Sam on how he reached his probabilistic claims. When Sam asserts that the $4 million worth of Ripple that went missing in the early days of Alameda had an “80 percent chance” of eventually turning up, Lewis asks no further questions. ... Lewis’ failure to examine that 80 [percent claim] is especially jarring.
What sort of 'further questions' was Lewis supposed to ask sbf? Lewis began work on the book in Spring 2022. The missing Ripple/XRP tokens incident happened around April 2018 [1]. This is not even to mention the fact that the tokens did eventually turn up on their own, so Sam's "80 percent chance" hunch proved entirely correct in retrospect [2].
What sort of 'further questions' was Lewis supposed to ask sbf? Lewis began work on the book in Spring 2022. The missing Ripple/XRP tokens incident happened around April 2018 [1]. This is not even to mention the fact that the tokens did eventually turn up on their own, so Sam's "80 percent chance" hunch proved entirely correct in retrospect [2].
[1] https://www.google.com/books/edition/Going_Infinite_The_Rise...
[2] https://www.google.com/books/edition/Going_Infinite_The_Rise...
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