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At this scale, a factor of magnitude or two is of little consequence, and odds are, you can get general buy-in within a "factor of magnitude or two" of the number of humans to live from the vast bulk of people who might have sensible opinions.


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In this case, it's actually very easy to get a good estimate: 10 billion is too low, 1 trillion seems a little high, 10 trillion is definitely too high; 100 billion is, as such, really the only good estimate.

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