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Think what this tech will be like in another 10 years.


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Call me a technology optimist. I'd bet 10 years.

I'm almost afraid to see what hardware will look like in 10 years.

In the U.S.A.

10 years from now will look surprisingly similar to present day. Political lobbying will continue (and worsen) to stifle innovation and even iteration. We'll still have a single choice in ISP. Broadband speeds will still be ridiculously slow in most parts of the country. Driverless trucks will only just be getting a foothold, and people will still be wondering where the driverless cars are. Managers will still expect "butts in chairs", so WFH will still not be an option for most. We were talking about encryption backdoors in the 90's (clipper chip), we're still talking about them now and we'll be talking about them in 10 years.

It will be hotter outside.

10 years, is... just not that far away.


And in 5-10 years, we'll be able to use it.

What piece of technology will stay relevant `5-10 years out`?!?

Or just with another 5 years of improving this technology.

I would think it wouldn't be the same product in 5-10 years.

... assuming it works as well as this PR piece suggests. But even if it doesn't, the tech will certainly evolve to something incredible in the next 20 years.

You're talking about what the tech does. I'm talking about what it can do, with reasonable-sounding non-magical improvements to tech. Just because there are limitations now does not mean those limitations will still exist in ten years.

You mean we wont be printing hardware in 10 years?

10-20 years as a prediction in tech, though, generally means "shrug who knows maybe never". Historically, predictions that far ahead are virtually useless.

Why 5-10 years? Hype cycle, or do you think there will be changes in the tech that could make it useful to these institutions at that point?

Amazing technology in due in 3-5 years? Probably not.

10 years away for mainstream use I’ll bet.

...but will likely be replaced by one of many technologies currently in development before it runs out at the end of the decade

This assumes that any of today's technology will survive 21 years...

Sure. But what will be their model in 5-10 years?

More like half a generation (if that). And by the time it ships, the lead in tech will be all but gone.

you'll be waiting a very long time. The tech is decades if not centuries off
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