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Its probably the perfect time to be talking about it giving how fast the advancements occur

They probably wont be using that model for another year, while people will be using that website for many years



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Why 5-10 years? Hype cycle, or do you think there will be changes in the tech that could make it useful to these institutions at that point?

And this is not only about 2020, most likely people will use the machine till 2025. ( Also consider the fact that Apple solders the RAM to motherboard. )

And in 5-10 years, we'll be able to use it.

They'll probably upgrade it over the next decade.

With WebAssembly that day is nearing. However it is certainly many years out.

Don't worry, you'll find out in the 2029 after its been used for ten years just like the rest of us :)

I mean it might be completely obsolete in five years. It has caused a great deal of innovation, even if much of that doesn't come to fruition.

Nice! It's sad that the machine they liked so much in 2020 is already obsolete:

2020-03-06: Hopefully, this machine will do for an other 20 years. Come back and check in 2040. -- https://fabiensanglard.net/the_beautiful_machine/


Sure. But what will be their model in 5-10 years?

Fine print: software will be ready in 2050.

Was absolutely concerned about this as well, but then say the timeline they are talking about (almost a decade) and decided to keep my concern in check, at least for another 6 years.

I either imagine hardware progressing so far in the next decade that this is absolutely moot or the language changing directions and some surprise coming out of left field to change this gameplan.


> ... imagine where we will be in another 15 years time.

We'll be 15 years behind the PCs of 15 years from now[1].

[1] Unless something changes drastically in the web stack.


It is already starting. But most of those predictions may be widely applicable in 2-10 years.

It seems like all of these things will be feasible to some degree within a couple of years. It's hard to predict how long it will take for them to be robust and widely deployed.


Cross-generation, too--it will take a long time to know. (Usage isn't new, but it will increase.)

Yes, this makes sense. It will become outdated soon, technologies are evolving rapidly.

Isn't it strange that we are celebrating being able to build things made 20 years ago, but in the browser?

I can imagine someone in 2032 posting somewhere: "Hey! I ported Crysis to the XXX " Being XXX = an Augmented Reality 3D Browser or what comes next in 20 years from now.

Just a thought.


All I know is that even the experts will be surprised. In tech it's hard to predict six months from now let alone five years.

10 years away for mainstream use I’ll bet.

I think it doesn't really matter one way or the other, anyway. Even if it takes 10 years to proliferate, at some point in the future, it'll be 10 years from now, and we'll be able to use it. depending on your usecase, maybe sooner.
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